USDJPY Analysis
Week ending 2023-03-24 | |||
Open | High | Low | Close |
131.82 | 133.00 | 129.61 | 130.70 |
Performance | |||||
Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
Friday | -0.06% | -7.801 Pips | |||
Week 2023-03-24 | -0.84% | -110.2 Pips | |||
March | -4.02% | -547.1 Pips |
Upcoming key events for the new week (London Time)
Tue 05:00 AM JPY Bank of Japan’s Governor Haruhiko Kuroda speech
Thu 01:30 PM USD GDP (12-mth)
What happened over the week
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in March preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 49.3 points compared to previous figure 47.3 points in February. Source
๐ โข๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ USD Durable Goods Orders in February below forecast and improved to -1% compared to previous figure -5, revised from -4.5% in January. Source
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD Chicago Fed National Activity Index in February below forecast and dropped to -0.19 points compared to previous figure 0.23 points in January. Source
๐ โข๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ USD Fed Interest Rate Decision (Federal Funds Rate) rose to 5% compared to previous rate 4.75%. Source
What can we expect from USDJPY for the new week and what happened on Friday?
USDJPY on Friday dropped -0.06% to 130.70. Price is below 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is falling. For the week ending 2023-03-24, the pair dropped -0.84% or -110.2 pips lower.
Looking ahead on Monday, USDJPY looks mixed as the pair is likely to consolidate above week low of 129.61.
For the new week, our technical outlook looks bearish, immediate support level is at 129.21 (WS1) with break below could see further selling pressure towards 127.71 (WS2). For potential buyers, as the current momentum is bearish, we prefer to look at firm break of the week high of 133.00 as an important indicator of buying interest. Failure to break the resistance level would continue to echo bearish sentiment. A close below week low of 129.61 would indicate selling pressure.
For the month of March, USDJPY is down by -4.02% or -547.1 pips lower.
Weekly key levels to watch out:
R3 | 135.99 |
R2 | 134.50 |
R1 | 132.60 |
Weekly Pivot | 131.10 |
S1 | 129.21 |
S2 | 127.71 |
S3 | 125.81 |
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Summary of Opinions at the Monetary Policy Meeting on March 9 and 10, 2023 Source: Bank of Japan
Coordinated central bank action to enhance the provision of U.S. dollar liquidity Source: Federal Reserve
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