AUDUSD Analysis
Week ending 2023-03-24 | |||
Open | High | Low | Close |
0.67142 | 0.67588 | 0.66220 | 0.66450 |
Performance | |||||
Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
Friday | -0.63% | -42.2 Pips | |||
Week 2023-03-24 | -0.75% | -50 Pips | |||
March | -1.23% | -83 Pips |
Upcoming key events for the new week (London Time)
Tue 01:30 AM AUD Retail sales turnover (1-mth)
Thu 01:30 PM USD GDP (12-mth)
What happened over the week
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in March preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 49.3 points compared to previous figure 47.3 points in February. Source
๐ โข๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ USD Durable Goods Orders in February below forecast and improved to -1% compared to previous figure -5, revised from -4.5% in January. Source
๐ ๐บ๐ธ USD Chicago Fed National Activity Index in February below forecast and dropped to -0.19 points compared to previous figure 0.23 points in January. Source
๐ โข๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ USD Fed Interest Rate Decision (Federal Funds Rate) rose to 5% compared to previous rate 4.75%. Source
What can we expect from AUDUSD for the new week and what happened on Friday?
AUDUSD on Friday dropped -0.63% to 0.66450. Price is below 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is rising. For the week ending 2023-03-24, the pair dropped -0.75% or -50 pips lower.
Looking ahead on Monday, AUDUSD looks bearish as the pair posted lower in Friday trading session.
For the new week, our technical outlook is mixed. To see upside interest, we prefer to look at price breakout of week high of 0.67588 or at least consolidates above Weekly Pivot level of 0.66753. On the downside, we are looking at week low 0.66220 or 0.65917 (WS1) as immediate support level. AUDUSD need to break on either side to indicate a short-term bias. A close below week low of 0.66220 would indicate selling pressure.
For the month of March, AUDUSD is down by -1.23% or -83 pips lower.
Weekly key levels to watch out:
R3 | 0.68653 |
R2 | 0.68121 |
R1 | 0.67285 |
Weekly Pivot | 0.66753 |
S1 | 0.65917 |
S2 | 0.65385 |
S3 | 0.64549 |
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New Home Sales Source: Census Bureau
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Quarterly Financial Report Source: Census Bureau
Quarterly Financial Report – Retail Source: Census Bureau
Coordinated central bank action to enhance the provision of U.S. dollar liquidity Source: Federal Reserve
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