AUDUSD Analysis
Performance | |||||
Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
Friday | 0.52% | 34.3 Pips | |||
Week 2023-06-02 | 1.34% | 87.2 Pips | |||
June | 1.59% | 103.1 Pips |
Upcoming key events for the new week (London Time)
Tue 05:30 AM AUD RBA Interest Rate Decision (Cash Rate Target)
Tue 05:30 AM AUD RBA Cash Rate Statement
Wed 12:20 AM AUD RBA’s Governor Philip Lowe speech
Wed 02:30 AM AUD GDP (3-mth)
Thu 02:30 AM AUD Trade Balance (1-mth)
Thu 01:30 PM USD Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims
What happened over the week
๐บ๐ธ Nonfarm Payroll Employment in May exceed forecast and rose to 339K compared to previous figure 294K in April (revised from 253K) Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
๐บ๐ธ In the week ending 27 May, the Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims rose to 232K compared to previous figure 229K Source: Department of Labor
๐บ๐ธ Nonfarm Business Labor Productivity in Q1 below forecast and improved to -2.1% compared to previous figure -2.7% in Q4 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
๐บ๐ธ U.S. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change in May dropped to 278K compared to previous figure 291K (revised from 296K)
๐บ๐ธ U.S. Housing Price Index (1-mth) in March dropped to 0.6% compared to previous figure 0.7% (revised from 0.5%)
๐ฆ๐บ Australia Building Permits (1-mth) in April below forecast and dropped to -8.1% compared to previous figure -0.1% in March Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics
What can we expect from AUDUSD for the new week and what happened on Friday?
AUDUSD on Friday rose 0.52% to 0.66042. Price is above 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is rising. For the week ending 2023-06-02, the pair rose 1.34% or 87.2 pips higher.
Looking ahead on Monday, AUDUSD looks bullish as the pair ended higher after Friday trading session.
For the new week, our technical outlook is mixed. To see upside interest, we prefer to look at price breakout of week high of 0.66385 or at least consolidates above Weekly Pivot level of 0.65666. On the downside, we are looking at week low 0.64570 or 0.64946 (WS1) as immediate support level. AUDUSD need to break on either side to indicate a short-term bias. A break above 0.66385 would suggest bullish bias after recent positive movement.
For the month of June, AUDUSD is up by 1.59% or 103.1 pips higher.
Weekly key levels to watch out:
R3 | 0.68576 |
R2 | 0.67481 |
R1 | 0.66761 |
Weekly Pivot | 0.65666 |
S1 | 0.64946 |
S2 | 0.63851 |
S3 | 0.63131 |
You might also be interested in:
Payroll employment increases by 339,000 in May; unemployment rate rises to 3.7% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Construction Spending Source: Census Bureau
Minutes of the Board’s discount rate meetings from April 10 through May 3, 2023 Source: Federal Reserve
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