GBPUSD Analysis
Performance | |||||
Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
Friday | 0.66% | 83.4 Pips | |||
Week 2023-06-30 | -0.15% | -19.7 Pips | |||
June | 2.05% | 254.7 Pips |
Upcoming key events for the new week (London Time)
Mon 03:00 PM ISM Manufacturing PMI
Tue 06:00 AM Independence Day
Wed 07:00 PM FOMC Meeting Minutes
Thu 01:15 PM ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Thu 01:30 PM Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims
Thu 03:00 PM ISM Services PMI
Fri 01:30 PM Nonfarm Payroll Employment
What happened over the week
๐บ๐ธ U.S. UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation in June unchanged at 3% compared to previous report in May. Source: University of Michigan
๐บ๐ธ U.S. Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment in June exceed forecast and rose to 64.4 points compared to previous figure 63.9 points in May Source: University of Michigan
๐บ๐ธ U.S. Personal Income (1-mth) in May rose to 0.4% compared to previous figure 0.3, revised from 0.4% in April Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
๐ฌ๐ง U.K. GDP (3-mth) in Q1 unchanged at 0.1% compared to previous report in Q4. The actual figure is also in lineย with the forecast Source: Office for National Statistics
๐บ๐ธ U.S. GDP Annualized in Q1 exceed forecast and rose to 2% compared to previous figure 1.3% in Q4 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
๐บ๐ธ U.S. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (3-mth) in Q1 below forecast and dropped to 4.9% compared to previous figure 5% in Q4 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
๐บ๐ธ U.S. New Residential Sales (1-mth) in May exceed forecast and rose to 0.763M compared to previous figure 0.68, revised from 0.683M in April Source: Census Bureau
๐บ๐ธ U.S. Housing Price Index (1-mth) in April exceed forecast and rose to 0.7% compared to previous figure 0.5, revised from 0.6% in March
๐บ๐ธ U.S. Durable Goods Orders excluding Transportation in May rose to 0.6% compared to previous figure -0.6% (revised from -0.2%) Source: Census Bureau
What can we expect from GBPUSD for the new week and what happened on Friday?
GBPUSD on Friday rose 0.66% to 1.26928. Price is above 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is falling. For the week ending 2023-06-30, the pair dropped -0.15% or -19.7 pips lower.
Looking ahead on Monday, GBPUSD looks bullish as the pair ended higher after Friday trading session.
For the new week, our technical outlook is mixed. To see upside interest, we prefer to look at price breakout of week high of 1.27592 or at least consolidates above Weekly Pivot level of 1.26809. On the downside, we are looking at week low 1.25906 or 1.26025 (WS1) as immediate support level. GBPUSD need to break on either side to indicate a short-term bias. A close below week low of 1.25906 would indicate selling pressure.
For the month of June, GBPUSD is up by 2.05% or 254.7 pips higher.
Weekly key levels to watch out:
R3 | 1.29397 |
R2 | 1.28495 |
R1 | 1.27711 |
Weekly Pivot | 1.26809 |
S1 | 1.26025 |
S2 | 1.25123 |
S3 | 1.24339 |
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