NZDUSD Analysis
| Performance | |||||
| Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
| Friday | 0.88% | 53.9 Pips |  |
||
| Week 2023-07-07 | 1.23% | 75.2 Pips |  |
||
| July | 1.23% | 75.2 Pips | |
||
Upcoming key events for the new week (London Time)
Wed 03:00 AM Monetary Policy Statement Wed 03:00 AM RBNZ Interest Rate Decision (Official Cash Rate) Wed 03:00 AM RBNZ Official Cash Rate Statement
Wed 01:30 PM CPI Inflation Rate (1-mth) Wed 01:30 PM CPI Inflation Rate (12-mth) Wed 01:30 PM CPI Inflation Rate excluding Food and Energy sectors (1-mth) Wed 01:30 PM CPI Inflation Rate excluding Food and Energy sectors (12-mth) 
Thu 01:30 PM Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Thu 01:30 PM Producer Price Index excluding Food and Energy sectors (12-mth) Fri 03:00 PM Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment
What happened over the week
🇺🇸 U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Employment in June below forecast and dropped to 209K compared to previous figure 306, revised from 339K in May Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 🇺🇸 U.S. ISM Services PMI in June exceed forecast and rose to 53.9 points compared to previous figure 50.3 points in May 🇺🇸 U.S. Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) in May below forecast and dropped to 9.8M compared to previous figure 10.103M in April 🇺🇸 In the week ending 01 July, U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims rose to 248K compared to previous figure 236K (revised from 239K) Source: Department of Labor 🇺🇸 U.S. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change in June exceed forecast and rose to 497K compared to previous figure 278K in May 🇺🇸 U.S. Challenger Job Cuts in June dropped to 40.709K compared to previous figure 80.089K in May 🇳🇿 New Zealand NZIER Business Confidence (3-mth) in Q2 improved to -63% compared to previous figure -66% in Q1 Source: NZIER
What can we expect from NZDUSD for the new week and what happened on Friday?
NZDUSD on Friday rose 0.88% to 0.62090. Price is above 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is rising. For the week ending 2023-07-07, the pair rose 1.23% or 75.2 pips higher.
Looking ahead on Monday, NZDUSD looks mixed as the pair is likely to consolidate above week low of 0.61260.
As for the new week, our technical outlook looks bullish, immediate upside resistance level at 0.62437 (WR1) with break above could target 0.62785 (WR2). On the downside, we are looking at week low of 0.61260 as an important support. Break below this level could weaken the current bullish momentum. A break above 0.62196 would suggest bullish bias after recent positive movement.
For the month of July, NZDUSD is up by 1.23% or 75.2 pips higher.
Weekly key levels to watch out:
| R3 | 0.63373 |
| R2 | 0.62785 |
| R1 | 0.62437 |
| Weekly Pivot | 0.61849 |
| S1 | 0.61501 |
| S2 | 0.60913 |
| S3 | 0.60565 |
You might also be interested in:
Payroll employment increases by 209,000 in June; unemployment rate changes little at 3.6% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, May 2023 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Source: Census Bureau Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories, and Orders Source: Census Bureau Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, June 13-14, 2023 Source: Federal Reserve Construction Spending Source: Census Bureau
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