USDCAD Analysis
| Performance | |||||
| Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
| Friday | 0.45% | 61 Pips |  |
||
| Week 2023-04-21 | 1.31% | 175 Pips |  |
||
| April | 0.19% | 25 Pips | |
||
Upcoming key events for the new week (London Time)
Wed 01:30 PM USD Durable Goods Orders Wed 01:30 PM USD Nondefense Capital Goods Orders excluding Aircraft 
Thu 01:30 PM USD Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Thu 01:30 PM USD GDP Annualized
What happened over the week
CAD Retail Trade Turnover (1-mth) in February dropped to -0.2% compared to previous figure 1.6% (revised from 1.4%). Source: Statistics Canada In the week ending 15 April, the Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims rose to 245K compared to 240K, revised from 239K in the previous report Source: Department of Labor 🇺🇸 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey in April exceed forecast and dropped to -31.3 points compared to previous figure -23.2 points in March 🇺🇸 Building Permits (1-mth) in March below forecast and dropped to 1.413M compared to previous figure 1.55, revised from 1.524M in February Source: Census Bureau 🇨🇦 BoC CPI Inflation Rate Core (1-mth) in March exceed forecast and rose to 0.6% compared to previous figure 0.5% in February Source: Bank of Canada 🇨🇦 CPI Inflation Rate (12-mth) in March dropped to 4.3% compared to previous figure 5.2% in February Source: Statistics Canada
What can we expect from USDCAD for the new week and what happened on Friday?
USDCAD on Friday rose 0.45% to 1.35360. Price is above 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is rising. For the week ending 2023-04-21, the pair rose 1.31% or 175 pips higher.
Looking ahead on Monday, USDCAD looks bullish as the pair ended higher after Friday trading session.
For the new week, our technical outlook is mixed. To see upside interest, we prefer to look at price breakout of week high of 1.35633 or at least consolidates above Weekly Pivot level of 1.34791. On the downside, we are looking at week low 1.33380 or 1.33949 (WS1) as immediate support level. USDCAD need to break on either side to indicate a short-term bias. A break above 1.35633 would suggest bullish bias after recent positive movement.
For the month of April, USDCAD is up by 0.19% or 25 pips higher.
Weekly key levels to watch out:
| R3 | 1.38455 |
| R2 | 1.37044 |
| R1 | 1.36202 |
| Weekly Pivot | 1.34791 |
| S1 | 1.33949 |
| S2 | 1.32538 |
| S3 | 1.31696 |
You might also be interested in:
Retail trade, February 2023 Source: Statistics Canada
Minutes of the Board’s discount rate meetings from February 21 through March 22, 2023 Source: Federal Reserve New Residential Construction Source: Census Bureau Business Formation Statistics Source: Census Bureau Consumer Price Index, March 2023 Source: Statistics Canada
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