USDJPY Analysis
Performance | |||||
Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
Friday | -0.59% | -87.3 Pips | |||
Week 2023-12-01 | -1.72% | -256.7 Pips | |||
December | -0.9% | -134 Pips |
Upcoming key events for the new week (London Time)
Mon 11:30 PM Tokyo CPI (Inflation Rate) (12-mth)
Tue 03:00 PM ISM Services PMI
Thu 01:30 PM Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims
Thu 11:50 PM GDP (3-mth)
Fri 01:30 PM Nonfarm Payroll Employment
Fri 03:00 PM Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment
What happened over the week
๐ฏ๐ต Japan Unemployment Rate in October below forecast and dropped to 2.5% compared to previous figure 2.6% in September Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan
๐บ๐ธ U.S. Personal Spending in October dropped to 0.2% compared to previous figure 0.7% in September Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
๐บ๐ธ In the week ending 25 November, U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims rose to 218K compared to previous figure 211K (revised from 209K) Source: Department of Labor
๐ฏ๐ต Japan Retail Trade seasonal adjustment (1-mth) in October exceed forecast and dropped to -1.6% compared to previous figure -0.1% in September Source: METI
๐ฏ๐ต Japan Retail Trade (12-mth) in October below forecast and dropped to 4.2% compared to previous figure 6.2, revised from 5.8% in September Source: METI
๐บ๐ธ U.S. Housing Price Index (1-mth) in September unchanged at 0.6% compared to previous report in August.
๐บ๐ธ U.S. New-Home Sales Change (1-mth) in October below forecast and dropped to -5.6% compared to previous figure 8.6, revised from 12.3% in September
From X (Twitter)
Japanese Retail Trade in October backslides more than expected, printing 4.2% versus the expected 5.9% https://t.co/U8sMNZK1tv #Japan #RetailSales #USDJPY
— FXStreet News (@FXStreetNews) November 30, 2023
What can we expect from USDJPY for the new week and what happened on Friday?
USDJPY on Friday dropped -0.59% to 146.84. Price is below 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is falling. For the week ending 2023-12-01, the pair dropped -1.72% or -256.7 pips lower.
Looking ahead on Monday, USDJPY looks bearish as the pair posted lower in Friday trading session.
For the new week, our technical outlook looks bearish, immediate support level is at 145.77 (WS1) with break below could see further selling pressure towards 144.70 (WS2). For potential buyers, as the current momentum is bearish, we prefer to look at firm break of the week high of 149.68 as an important indicator of buying interest. Failure to break the resistance level would continue to echo bearish sentiment. A close below week low of 146.66 would indicate selling pressure.
For the month of December, USDJPY is down by -0.9% or -134 pips lower.
Weekly key levels to watch out:
R3 | 151.81 |
R2 | 150.74 |
R1 | 148.79 |
Weekly Pivot | 147.72 |
S1 | 145.77 |
S2 | 144.70 |
S3 | 142.75 |