
NZDUSD Analysis
Performance | |||||
Period | Pct | Chg | Momentum | ||
Friday | -0.14% | -8.5 Pips | ![]() |
||
Week 2023-06-02 | 0.15% | 8.9 Pips | ![]() |
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June | 0.66% | 39.9 Pips | ![]() |
Upcoming key events for the new week (London Time)
Thu 01:30 PM USD Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims
What happened over the week
๐บ๐ธ Nonfarm Payroll Employment in May exceed forecast and rose to 339K compared to previous figure 294K in April (revised from 253K) Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
๐บ๐ธ In the week ending 27 May, the Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims rose to 232K compared to previous figure 229K Source: Department of Labor
๐บ๐ธ Nonfarm Business Labor Productivity in Q1 below forecast and improved to -2.1% compared to previous figure -2.7% in Q4 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
๐บ๐ธ U.S. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change in May dropped to 278K compared to previous figure 291K (revised from 296K)
๐บ๐ธ U.S. Housing Price Index (1-mth) in March dropped to 0.6% compared to previous figure 0.7% (revised from 0.5%)
๐ณ๐ฟ New Zealand Building Permits seasonal adjustment. (1-mth) in April below forecast and dropped to -2.6% compared to previous figure 7% in March Source: Stats NZ
What can we expect from NZDUSD for the new week and what happened on Friday?
NZDUSD on Friday dropped -0.14% to 0.60569. Price is below 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is rising in oversold zone. For the week ending 2023-06-02, the pair rose 0.15% or 8.9 pips higher.
Looking ahead on Monday, NZDUSD looks mixed as the pair is likely to consolidate above week low of 0.59830.
For the new week, our technical outlook is mixed. To see upside interest, we prefer to look at price breakout of week high of 0.61110 or at least consolidates above Weekly Pivot level of 0.60503. On the downside, we are looking at week low 0.59830 or 0.59896 (WS1) as immediate support level. NZDUSD need to break on either side to indicate a short-term bias. A break above 0.61110 would suggest bullish bias after recent positive movement.
For the month of June, NZDUSD is up by 0.66% or 39.9 pips higher.
Weekly key levels to watch out:
R3 | 0.62456 |
R2 | 0.61783 |
R1 | 0.61176 |
Weekly Pivot | 0.60503 |
S1 | 0.59896 |
S2 | 0.59223 |
S3 | 0.58616 |
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Payroll employment increases by 339,000 in May; unemployment rate rises to 3.7% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Construction Spending Source: Census Bureau
Minutes of the Board’s discount rate meetings from April 10 through May 3, 2023 Source: Federal Reserve
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