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AUDUSD on Friday rose 0.64% to 0.66950. Week ending 2023-03-17 rose 1.75%. What happened.

AUDUSD on Friday rose 0.64% to 0.66950. Week ending 2023-03-17 rose 1.75%. What happened.


Week ending 2023-03-17
Open High Low Close
0.66592 0.67246 0.66012 0.66950
Performance
Period Pct Chg Momentum
Friday 0.64% 42.9 Pips
Week 2023-03-17 1.75% 115 Pips
March -0.53% -35.8 Pips

Upcoming key events for the new week (London Time)

Tue 12:30 AM AUD RBA Minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting of the Board
Wed 06:00 PM USD Fed Interest Rate Decision (Federal Funds Rate)
Wed 06:00 PM USD FOMC Monetary Policy Statement
Wed 06:30 PM USD FOMC Press Conference
Fri 12:30 PM USD Durable Goods Orders
Fri 12:30 PM USD Nondefense Capital Goods xcluding Aircraft

What happened over the week

πŸ“† πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey in March exceed forecast and improved to -23.2 points compared to previous figure -24.3 points in February. Source
πŸ“† πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD Building Permits (1-mth) in February exceed forecast and rose to 1.524M compared to previous figure 1.339M in January. Source
πŸ“† ☒️ πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί AUD Employment Change (seasonally adjusted) in February exceed forecast and rose to 64.6K compared to previous figure -11.5K in January. Source
πŸ“† πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί AUD Full-Time Employment in February rose to 74.9K compared to previous figure -43.3K in January. Source
πŸ“† ☒️ πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί AUD Unemployment Rate (seasonally adjusted) in February below forecast and dropped to 3.5% compared to previous figure 3.7% in January. Source
πŸ“† πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί AUD Consumer Inflation Expectations in March below forecast and dropped to 5% compared to previous figure 5.1% in February. Source
πŸ“† ☒️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD Retail Control Group in February exceed forecast and dropped to 0.5% compared to previous figure 2.3, revised from 1.7% in January. Source
πŸ“† ☒️ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD CPI Inflation Rate excluding Food & Energy sectors (1-mth) in February exceed forecast and rose to 0.5% compared to previous figure 0.4% in January. Source


What can we expect from AUDUSD for the new week and what happened on Friday?

AUDUSD on Friday rose 0.64% to 0.66950. Price is above 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is rising. For the week ending 2023-03-17, the pair rose 1.75% or 115 pips higher.

Looking ahead on Monday, AUDUSD looks bullish as the pair ended higher after Friday trading session.

For the new week, our technical outlook is mixed. To see upside interest, we prefer to look at price breakout of week high of 0.67246 or at least consolidates above Weekly Pivot level of 0.66736. On the downside, we are looking at week low 0.66012 or 0.66226 (WS1) as immediate support level. AUDUSD need to break on either side to indicate a short-term bias. A break above 0.67246 would suggest bullish bias after recent positive movement.

For the month of March, AUDUSD is down by -0.53% or -35.8 pips lower.

Weekly key levels to watch out:

R3 0.68694
R2 0.67970
R1 0.67460
Weekly Pivot 0.66736
S1 0.66226
S2 0.65502
S3 0.64992

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