USDCHF on Friday rose 0.32% to 0.91930. Week ending 2023-03-24 moved lower by -0.69%. What happened.

USDCHF Analysis

Performance
Period	Pct	Chg	Momentum
Friday	0.32%	29 Pips
Week 2023-03-24	-0.69%	-64 Pips
March	-2.42%	-228 Pips

Upcoming key events for the new week (London Time)

Thu 01:30 PM USD GDP (12-mth)

What happened over the week

📆 🇺🇸 USD S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in March preliminary estimate exceed forecast and rose to 49.3 points compared to previous figure 47.3 points in February. Source
📆 ☢️ 🇺🇸 USD Durable Goods Orders in February below forecast and improved to -1% compared to previous figure -5, revised from -4.5% in January. Source
📆 🇺🇸 USD Chicago Fed National Activity Index in February below forecast and dropped to -0.19 points compared to previous figure 0.23 points in January. Source
📆 ☢️ 🇨🇭 CHF SNB Interest Rate Decision (Policy Rate) rose to 1.5% compared to previous rate 1%. Source
📆 ☢️ 🇺🇸 USD Fed Interest Rate Decision (Federal Funds Rate) rose to 5% compared to previous rate 4.75%. Source

What can we expect from USDCHF for the new week and what happened on Friday?

USDCHF on Friday rose 0.32% to 0.91930. Price is below 9-Day EMA while Stochastic is rising. For the week ending 2023-03-24, the pair dropped -0.69% or -64 pips lower.

Looking ahead on Monday, USDCHF looks bullish as the pair ended higher after Friday trading session.

For the new week, our technical outlook is mixed. To see upside interest, we prefer to look at price breakout of week high of 0.93171 or at least consolidates above Weekly Pivot level of 0.92090. On the downside, we are looking at week low 0.91170 or 0.91010 (WS1) as immediate support level. USDCHF need to break on either side to indicate a short-term bias. A close below week low of 0.91170 would indicate selling pressure.

For the month of March, USDCHF is down by -2.42% or -228 pips lower.

Weekly key levels to watch out:

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Advance Monthly Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories, and Orders Source: Census Bureau
New Home Sales Source: Census Bureau
U.S. International Transactions, 4th Quarter and Year 2022 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
2023-03-23 – Monetary policy assessment of 23 March 2023 Source: SNB
Index Suggests Economic Growth Declined in February Source: Chicago Fed
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the March 21-22 FOMC meeting Source: Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement Source: Federal Reserve
Quarterly Financial Report Source: Census Bureau
Quarterly Financial Report – Retail Source: Census Bureau
Coordinated central bank action to enhance the provision of U.S. dollar liquidity Source: Federal Reserve

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